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Terrorist Threat Assessment Netherlands 51

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2019
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17
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Right-wing extremism
In Dutch society, there are concerns about the threat of right-wing extremism. This arose after the right-terrorist attack in New Zealand (Christchurch) in March 2019 and reinforced by several copy-cat attacks after the United States (Step) a Europe (Oslo, Halle). These concerns are not adequately reflect the real threat. The extreme right scene in the Netherlands is small, fragmented and almost violent. However, there is also risk that the Netherlands receive an extreme right-wing maverick online inspiration or exhibiting violent loner copy-cat behavior in response to such an attack in Christchurch.

right terrorism
A right-terrorist attack is conceivable a loner in Netherlands. This estimate is mainly based on the possibility that a Dutch (internet-) loner radicalized, and proceeds to an extreme right-wing-inspired act of force. Right-wing extremist groups in the Netherlands are marginal and non-violent. Right-terrorist violence in other European countries do not automatically translate into attacks in Netherlands.

Risk copy-cat Christchurch
The perpetrators of El Paso, Oslo is a, most recent, Halle have been inspired greatly by the right-wing terrorist attack Brenton Tarrant in Christchurch. Thus, it is in DTN 50 identified risk of copy-cat behavior as a result of the attacks in New Zealand has become a real risk. Both the bomber of El Paso (20 kill) as had Oslo, like Tarrant, the attacks announced an international Internet forum. And they used the popular omvolkingstheorie 'in right-extremist circles to support their right-wing terrorist attacks. The central thesis of the 'omvolkingstheorie "that is going on a major demographic replace European' tribal peoples' in the Western world by the increase in the number of migrants caused by a deliberate migration of the political elite. What is striking is that the manifests of Christchurch and El Paso apart from traditional right-wing themes also include elements commonly as 'left' seen, as criticism of the international business and attention to ecology; This latter issue is, moreover, an element in the extreme right-wing ideas. Dutch also active on Internet forums like 4Chan, 8and which can EndChan, besides many other content, plenty of right-wing content is shared. In the Netherlands there are signals radicalising people with right-wing orientation. It can also not be excluded that loss Dutch loner whether radicalized over the internet and proceeds to a terrorist act.

Threat of right-wing extremism in Europe
found in recent DTN period abroad several serious acts of violence rather than a right-wing extremist motive: a political assassination with a right-wing extremist motive in Kassel (Duitsland), an attack with a right-wing extremist motive in El Paso (United States), a failed attempt by a right-wing extremist terrorist in Oslo (Norway) and an unsuccessful attempt on a synagogue and two killing by an extreme right-wing terrorist in Halle (Duitsland). The attacks abroad should initially mainly be seen in local and national context. In recent years, the European Union and the United States are seeing an increase in right-wing violence. The threat of violent right-wing extremism in Europe in general can however be assessed as low. Because there have already occurred several right-wing terrorist attacks by individuals who have been inspired by the bomber in Christchurch, are pamphlet or similar (online) ideas, it is conceivable that the future can be made more copy-cat attacks.(…)
Right-wing extremism
The Dutch right-wing offline scene is characterized by fragmentation, weak leadership, personal animosity and lack of a consistent organization. Extreme right and extreme right-wing organizations in the Netherlands have together several hundred members. The Dutch right-wing extremist scene is whatever nonviolent. The scene has various ideological directions: including neo-Nazism, counter-jihad movement and 'identitarian' movement. The scene is under increasing influence of alt-right and its white identity politics. Although the right-wing extremist scene is fragmented, are there links between members and organizations.
Right-wing extremism online
During the massive influx of refugees in Europe 2015 en 2016 there is in the Netherlands has been a huge increase in right-wing extremist content online. This increase was especially visible in the social media pages of some extreme right-wing and extreme right-wing pressure groups, as Pegida, Identitair Resistance, NVU, Erkenbrand and Outpost, which are mainly engaged in major platforms like Facebook, Twitter YouTube. The growth of right-wing extremist content on the web pages of these action groups are then in the years virtually stagnated, like the momentary boost of online supporters (followers) these action groups.
Dutch right-wing extremists are now even more out of the extreme right and extreme right-wing activist groups to internationally active online and searching for the right-wing extremist content. They are active in alternative social media platforms as a backup, passing place or in addition to the large more common platforms. alternative forums, platforms en chatapps als 4chan, 8when (formerly 8chan), Endchan, diverse gamefora, Gave (instead of Twitter), Minds one VKontakte (instead of Facebook), Telegram (instead of Whatsapp) en Bitchute (instead of YouTube) are less restrictive in their policies towards extremist or violent content than Facebook, Twitter and Google. However, Also these alternative platforms are under increasing societal and political pressures to the right-wing content to remove. Because of a maximum online reach remain most Dutch extreme right and extreme right-wing activist groups also active on the major platforms Facebook, YouTube, Email an Instagram.
Under the influence of social media reaches the right-extremist ideas online international community. Right-wing extremists from all main Western countries are in contact with each international web forums or chat apps, such as the above-mentioned 4chan, 8when, Endchan in Telegram. Such platforms have since the attacks in Christchurch much attention in the media and governments. The perpetrator made use of these forums, inter alia, to publish his manifesto so that as many people with similar ideas could read this. At these forums is a discourse in which violence is encouraged and glorified, and a fascination emerges for games and weapons. There are often also 'memes’ divided: humorous referred messages racism, homo-, women-, Muslim- and promote anti-Semitism. Right-wing terrorists like Breivik and Tarrant, bomber in 2011 die 77 people killed in Norway, are seen as saints and Hitler and Nazi ideology are often taken as an example. This mainly English international platforms can act as a breeding ground for rapid radicalization and violence. It is evident that Dutch right-wing extremists active in these forums and apps, but it is difficult to get a complete picture of the Dutch presence because of the size and turnover of the messages. The forums are easily accessible. Members can remain anonymous: registration is unnecessary and the location can be disguised.
"Pick up activism 'of Pegida
Small extreme right-wing and right-wing extremist groups remain active with demonstrations and intimidation and radical actions around AZCs and mosques. This raises anti-fascist and left-wing extremist reactions, as against demonstrations. In clashes between the two camps the violence appetite 'left' seems still greater than among right-wing extremists. Extreme right-wing and right-wing extremist demonstrations and actions also provide lasting unrest in Muslim communities. Notable was the presence of Turkish Muslims in Eindhoven with a Moroccan mosque in 15 June during a flyer provocative action of a dozen activists of the extreme right-wing anti-Islam group Pegida. The foreman Pegida, Edwin Wagensveld, was attacked by a number of counter-demonstrators. His action group achieved through "add-activism ', the repeat of small-scale actions, with minimal resources maximum polarization when a group of Muslims in which a lot of attention from the media is generated.
Violence against meeting Kick Out Zwarte Piet
That standing for 'own' around the kids as Sinterklaas can even lead to public violence during a meeting Friday was 9 November evident in The Hague. The background of dozens of supporters of Zwarte Piet as a meeting Kick Out Zwarte Piet (Közp) interfered with a lot of violence is still unknown. This action can not be separated from angry feelings of disgruntled citizens in the Hague, which had suggested the organization of entry to, in line with the national entry, merely using soot wipe helpers. This pursuit led two days of violence already a heated demonstration in Scheveningen, where hundreds of people under the slogan "Bonfire, Christmas or Zwarte Piet, different from our traditions, we do not "come together. Apart from these local component is violence a clear illustration of the hatred that the opponents of the "traditional" Sinterklaas presents to a group of mainly white Dutch. Because a small group of activists announced against Zwarte Piet in the coming years with perseverance to continue to discard all entrance ceremonies of Zwarte Piet, the polarization around this culture contrary to the edges shall not be resolved by relying on moderation and reasonableness. It makes since 2018 the presence of soccer hooligans during different entrance ceremonies for additional unrest.(…)
comments'boerkaverbod'
The introduction of the ban on face-covering clothing in certain public areas - popularly called the "burqa ban" - has so far mainly online had a mobilizing effect. Just before the introduction of the ban on 1 augustus 2019 took to social media attention to the law suddenly sharply after news of the Algemeen Dagblad confirming that a citizen's arrest of nikabdraagsters was authorized by a spokesman for the prosecution. A tweet from Geert Wilders (818.000 followers) where the PVV leader showed understanding for such initiatives led to tensions between online for- and opponents of the law because some right-wing populist social media pages was alluded to civil judgments and other forms of vigilantism. In response jihadists and Salafists came with different (online) Initiatives such as the introduction of 'neighborhood watch'. The pro-ISIS channel Greenb1rds was placed on the day of the introduction of the 'burqa ban' a threat against Netherlands. Also expressed jihadists threats against Geert Wilders. There is no evidence that the people behind these messages pose a real threat.
Some nikabdraagsters chose despite the introduction of the ban demonstrative niqab in public transport travel. This online dynamics caused no further for a big turnout at protests and demonstrations against the 'burqa ban'. Although right-wing populist and right-wing extremist online forums was alluded to private terminal operations to enforce the new law also showed the willingness to act in the public arena so far not large. In the weeks following the introduction of the ban were Salafists and Jihadists Muslims online mobilization on this theme, for example by online 'exposen "of alleged perpetrators who nikabdraagsters difficult (would) to fall. Partly because the national and municipal authorities a uniform story about the importance of enforcing the law, the law remains a topic about which can be strong social polarization. Extreme forces on both sides (Salafist-jihadi and right-wing extremist) can and will continue in the future profile on this theme because of the low number nikabdraagsters (circa 200) few people gets concrete. Due to the polarized (online) landscape, the "burqa ban" during a possible escalation rise in a public space above a problem of public order and a broad ideological debate ignite.